Morning News

Good morning...

Well, two disappointing days in a row and then...

Wallop!

We come back in style.

Yesterday you could have backed every top three rated horse and made a profit.

In other words, if you'd put £1 on all 99 top three rated horses from the 33 races you would have walked away with about £16 profit for the day.

And if you'd blindly backed every top rated horse you'd have almost doubled your money.

I had a feeling that it was going to be a good day when we got the first three in the right order in the first race of the day!

And then when our top rated horse in the next race (the 2:05 at Punchestown) won at 20/1 (42.0 BSP) it just confirmed it!

And Wine O'Clock had already arrived (bear in mind that I'm an hour ahead of you) by the time our top rated horse won the 5:15 at Ludlow at 20/1 ISP (34.0 BSP.)

So, without any further ado, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 36.36%.

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 110.95 units returned to 95 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 116.79%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 62.25 units returned to 33 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 188.64%

2nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the second rated horse in all of the races you would have had 19.7 units returned to 30 units staked. The Second Rated Profit Index was, thus, 65.67%

3nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the third rated horse in all of the races you would have had 29 units returned to 32 units staked. The Third Rated Profit Index was, thus, 90.63%

Forecasts

There were 5 forecasts yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 14:00:00 - The CSF paid £6.80

Punchestown 14:05:00 - The CSF paid £52.91

Lingfield (AW) 15:05:00 - The CSF paid £1.85

Lingfield (AW) 15:35:00 - The CSF paid £48.41

Doncaster 16:25:00 - The CSF paid £3.12

If you had done a £1 forecast in every race yesterday you would have had £113.09 returned for your £33.00 stakes.

Reverse Forecasts

There were 1 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Kempton (AW) 17:40:00 - The CSF paid £10.61

If you had done a £2 reverse forecast in every race yesterday you would have had £123.70 returned for your £66.00 stakes.

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 14:00:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £15.90

Lingfield (AW) 15:05:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £2.30

Doncaster 16:25:00 - The Trifecta paid £13.30

Reverse Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 reverse tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Kempton (AW) 20:10:00 - The Tricast paid £33.72

Winners

From the 33 rated races there were 21 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Punchestown	14:05	Some Article (3)	21.00	42.0
Lingfield (AW)	14:30	Gung Ho Jack (8)	6.00	7.14
Lingfield (AW)	15:35	Birkdale Boy (3)	9.00	12.0
Ludlow	16:15	Ascendant (2)	7.50	8.02
Ludlow	17:15	King Alfonso (6)	21.00	34.0

Comments...

Well, what can I say?

I think that today Wine O'Clock will be Champagne O'Clock over here in the land of red wine and smelly cheese!

Actually, I'm not posh enough to drink champagne and over here in Brittany we like to drink something called Kir which is fizzy cheap white wine with a bit of blackcurrent liqueur added. So, I'll probably be celebrating yesterday's results with a glass of that instead.

I hope that some of you did rather well yesterday; I'm still reeling a bit for getting the first two in the right order in the 24 runner race at Punchestown.

Some of you have suggested that I start reporting the overall figures to BSP as most of you seem to use Betfair.

If I can find an easy way to do that I shall but I'm a bit wary of giving myself even more work.

You know, sometimes when we have a couple of bad days in a row I do begin to question myself and worry that I've done something to affect the ratings.

But I'm gradually moving the presentation code (the bits that produce the PDFs and CSV files and so forth) away from the core code that actually computes the ratings so that, if I change things in the future, there will be less chance of me breaking the ratings.

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 31 rated races from five meetings.

I'm taking a bit of a day off from the Speed Ratings today as a number of people have asked to promote Focus Ratings and I need to set things up for them.

But there will be work going on in the background; it's just the sort of stuff that I can kick off and leave to run unattended.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards