Morning News

Good morning...

Ho Hum...

What can I say?

Our top rated horse came first in 47.06% of all races.

Our top rated horse came in the first three in 82.35% of all races and...

Strangely enough, 82.35% of all races were won by a top three rated horse!

Needless to say, I'm waking up with a bit of a smile on my face this morning.

Not so many forecasts and tricasts, I do have to admit but,

You can't have everything.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 47.06%.

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 58.82 units returned to 54 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 108.93%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 23.07 units returned to 17 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 135.71%

2nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the second rated horse in all of the races you would have had 3 units returned to 18 units staked. The Second Rated Profit Index was, thus, 16.67%

3nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the third rated horse in all of the races you would have had 32.75 units returned to 19 units staked. The Third Rated Profit Index was, thus, 172.37%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Plumpton 14:35:00 - The CSF paid £9.39

Reverse Forecasts

There were 0 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Plumpton 14:35:00 - The Trifecta paid £10.20

Reverse Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 reverse tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 19 rated races there were 14 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 2 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Wolverhampton (AW)	15:00	Arctic Lynx (8)	9.00	9.78
Wolverhampton (AW)	17:00	Maiden Approach (5)	11.00	12.33

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = AW Seasonal Losers (to win!) - where R4 Status = 1 and where R4 is Greater than Average R4 and the Horse\'s Average R4 is greater than 2.5 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and the Race\'s RC1 is greater than 60% and where Position last time out = Unplaced and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is September or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December and the Horse\'s Confidence is greater than 140%

Selection = Back to ISP - Wolverhampton (AW) - 16:00:00 - Red Tycoon (9)

Races (over last year): 33 Wins: 15 Strike Rate: 45.45% ROI: 110.90% AV SP: 2.44

Red Tycoon came second.

Chancers Bet = Bumper Drops! - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Flat and where RC0 (Good Race/Bad Race) = 1 and Horse has dropped 1 Class

Selection = Back to ISP - Plumpton - 17:10:00 - Morning Herald (8)

Races (over last year): 18 Wins: 5 Strike Rate: 27.78% ROI: 102.23% AV SP: 3.68

Morning Herald was a non-runner.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Any other business...

Free Book

Those of you who were up at 3am might have noticed that I published a new post about a free horse racing book.

Those of you who weren't up at 3am can take a look at that post at Free Book - My Racing Adventures.

Live Ratings Results

From tomorrow I shall be showing (around about here on the Morning News) the results of the Live Ratings.

This is, obviously, in addition to the normal ratings.

The Live Ratings are consistently better than the morning ratings but are only of any use to those of you that have access to the internet during the day.

However, I shall be producing a Smartphone/Tablet App to show the Live Ratings and, in a addition, will be providing a service where you will be able to receive an email every time there is a change to the ratings.

You will have to opt in to that service so don't worry about being inundated with unwanted emails; there would have been two yesterday but I expect that there will be quite a few during the summer when the Flat season is underway.

Additionally (and quite bizarrely), there will also be a new page on the site which, when opened, will beep and read out any changes to the ratings when they occur.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 24 rated races from three meetings.

I had an excellent day with the Speed Ratings yesterday and am getting quite excited about them.

However, in a way I'll be glad when all the work is done as I'll have more time to pontificate on today's racing and to work on various strategies for using the ratings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards