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Morning (or Evening) News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning (or evening)...

OK - a word of warning...

Today (or as it happens, tomorrow - isn't insomnia wonderful?) I will be upgrading my laptop (my main machine) to a different version of Linux (the Operating System that I use.)

That means that I shall be unable to access email from as soon as the ratings have gone out.

However, I have got more than a few emails to catch up on so I have built another machine that will allow me to stay in contact.

The reason that I am doing this is that my laptop is pretty much at the end of its life and I'm just trying to get a few more months out of it before having to dip into the red wine and smelly cheese fund to buy a replacement.

Moving swiftly on...

It was a pretty good day for the new strategy...

Leopardstown 12:50 - Waitaki - Unplaced

Leopardstown 13:20 - Awtaad - 1st - 2.38 ISP

Aintree 13:25 - Perform - Ist - 4.33 ISP

Galway 13:30 - Well Taken - Unplaced

Leopardstown 13:50 - Theodorico - 1st - 2.0 ISP

So, we got 8.71 returned for 5 points staked; once again, a 74% retrun on investment kind of works for me.

And, more importantly (for me, at least), I do like the 66.66% strike rate.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's/today's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 18.52%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.24%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.24% from all 29 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 70.68 units returned to 82 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -13.8%

Top Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the top rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.72 units returned to 27 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -23.26%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 26 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 28.13 units returned to 26 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 8.19%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 29 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 21.83 units returned to 29 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -24.72%

Forecasts

There were 0 forecasts yesterday.

Reverse Forecasts

There were 4 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Wincanton 13:40:00 - The CSF paid £13.70

Galway 14:05:00 - The CSF paid £2.54

Aintree 15:00:00 - The CSF paid £14.11

Galway 15:05:00 - The CSF paid £13.12

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Aintree 15:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £53.60

Galway 16:05:00 - The Trifecta paid £28.70

Wincanton 16:15:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £15.80

Winners

From the 29 rated races there were 17 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Galway 13:30 Archive (1) 8.00 10.17
Wincanton 13:40 Panis Angelicus (2) 7.50 7.71
Galway 14:35 Battling Boru (5) 8.00 9.09
Aintree 15:00 Hunters Hoof (6) 6.50 7.55
Aintree 15:30 Sound Investment (4) 8.00 9.66

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - Leopardstown - 16:25:00 - Mcguigan (9)

Races (over last year): 29 Wins: 12 Strike Rate: 41.38% ROI: 148.97% AV SP: 3.60

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £142.00

McGuigan came third.

Chancers Bet = Unique Jockey and Trainer - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner and Horse had a Unique Jockey and Horse had a Unique trainer and Horse has NOT changed in Class

Selection = Back to ISP - Galway - 16:40:00 - Glendine River (7)

Races (over last year): 15 Wins: 4 Strike Rate: 26.67% ROI: 114.41AV SP: 4.29

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £21.60

Glendine River came second.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Galway 13:30:00 - Chnacelton - Unplaced

Galway 14:05:00 - My Direction - Unplaced

Wincanton 14:15:00 - Alotarain - Unplaced

Galway 15:05:00 Sea - Buckthorn - Unplaced

Wincanton 15:45:00 - Maire Rua - Unplaced

Wincanton 16:15:00 - Albert Hering - 2nd - Betfair paid 4.13 for the place.

We made a loss of 2.06265 points on the day and have made a profit of 12.688 points for October.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 3.407967 points on the day and have made a profit of 14.020023 points for October.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 3.407967 points for the day. We have made a profit of 10.075419 points for October.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSOct.xls

Something to make you smile

Healthy Proverbs

1. If you're too open minded, your brains will fall out.

2. Age is a very high price to pay for maturity.

3. Going to church doesn't make you a Christian any more than going to a garage makes you a mechanic.

4. Artificial intelligence is no match for natural stupidity.

5. If you must choose between two evils, pick the one you've never tried before.

6. My idea of housework is to sweep the room with a glance.

7. Not one shred of evidence supports the notion that life is serious.

8. It is easier to get forgiveness than permission.

9. For every action, there is an equal and opposite government program.

10. If you look like your passport picture, you probably need the trip.

11. Bills travel through the mail at twice the speed of checks.

12. A conscience is what hurts when all your other parts feel so good.

13. Eat well, stay fit, die anyway.

14. Men are from earth. Women are from earth. Deal with it.

15. No husband has ever been shot while doing the dishes.

16. A balanced diet is a cookie in each hand.

17. Middle age is when broadness of the mind and narrowness of the waist change places.

18. Opportunities always look bigger going than coming.

19. Junk is something you've kept for years and throw away three weeks before you need it.

20. There is always one more imbecile than you counted on.

21. Experience is a wonderful thing. It enables you to recognize a mistake when you make it again.

22. By the time you can make ends meet, they move the ends.

23. Thou shalt not weigh more than thy refrigerator.

24. Someone who thinks logically provides a nice contrast to the real world.

25. Blessed are they who can laugh at themselves for they shall never cease to be amused.

And many thanks to David O. for this one (which makes me feel so much more healthy!)

So much wisdom!

To my friends who enjoy a glass of wine and those who don't and are always seen with a bottle of water in their hand:

As Ben Franklin said: In wine there is wisdom, In beer there is freedom, In water there is bacteria.

In a number of carefully controlled trials, Scientists have demonstrated that if we drink 1 litre of water each day, at the end of the year we would have absorbed more than 1 kilo of Escherichia coli, (E. Coli) – bacteria.

In other words, we are consuming 1 kilo of pooh annually.

However, We do NOT run that risk when drinking wine & beer (or rum, whiskey or other liquor) because alcohol has to go through a purification process of boiling, filtering and fermenting.

Remember: Water = Poop, Wine = Health

Therefore, it's better to drink wine and talk stupid, than to drink water and be full of Shit.

There is no need to thank me for this valuable information: I'm doing it as a public service!

And one from Terry B. I'm always grateful for your contributions TB.

Bear on the roof

A man in Canada awakes one morning to find a bear on his roof.

He calls a bear remover.

He arrives,in his van with a ladder, a baseball bat, a 12 bore shotgun and badly scarred pit bull.

"What are you going to do?"asks the man.

The bear remover said... "I am going to climb the ladder to the roof,knock the bear off with the baseball bat, then when the bear falls off, the pit bull is trained to grab the bear by the testicles and not let him go.

The bear will be subdued enough to go in the cage, in the van."

He then hands the man the 12 Bore shotgun.

"Why have you given this to me for?"

"Just In case the bear knocks me off the roof....

Shoot the dog."

Boom boom.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 29 rated races from four meetings.

The Wexford races seem to have been entirely missed out.

I shall try to rectify that before the ratings go out at 10am.

Have a great day's racing!

5 star ratingsOnce again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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