Focus Ratings is a Uk and Irish Horse Racing ratings service designed to aid you and help you narrow the field so that you can concentrate on the real contenders. Our completely computerised analysis system selects the top three rated horses from each race and sends out the ratings every day at 10:00 a.m.  Wonderful results and an excellent strike rate.  Use Focus Ratings to win more money and make more profits from British and Irish Horse Racing.  The only horse racing system you'll ever need.

Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning... So, not such a great day yesterday but... Our 2016 strike rate is still over 30% so all is not too bad. Well,, if you're a Spurs supporter things are pretty bad but I'm not going to talk about that! I've just published a post about some of the work that I did yesterday. You can see this at... http://focusratings.com/news/the-results-page/ I also ought to warn you that there should (and should is the important word here) be a new link on the Morning Ratings email. This will point to my working copy of the new Expert Ratings which will show R5. Currently it still shows R4 but, if the link works, I'll start updating the code to implement my workings on R5. Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

The Results Page

results1Hello... As we've been having such good results recently, I though that it might be an idea to revamp the Results Page. What I've done is created new results pages for previous years and put links to them on the main Results Page. This makes the Results Page load about ten million times faster than it used to (perhaps I'm exaggerating there, slightly?) and also has the effect that... It makes it so much easier for me to update every month end.

Lowest on Yield – 3

lowest_on_yieldThe Best Laid Plans...

I mentioned in my last post that I thought that there might be a place betting strategy to be found from the lowest yield horse (from the top three rated horses) as we had an incredible strike rate. However, as we all know... Strike Rate is Vanity - It's Profits that count! And that's certainly true here. The lowest on yield horses are going to have very low prices anyway and, that's even more so when you look at Betfair Place Prices.

Lowest on Yield – 2

lowest_on_yieldGood News and...

Well, I'm afraid that I've got some bad news for you. I've just realised that the data set that I shall be using for this analysis only contains the top three rated horses. That means that I can't analyse all the horses in the race. That means that I need to write some code to generate a new database table that contains all the rated horses with all the detail that I show in my normal results table. That means that I'll be able to offer a new spreadsheet (on the sidebar of the site) with Betfair prices (and some other good stuff) for you to use in your own analysis. I'll only be able to update that spreadsheet once a month but that should be sufficiently accurate for most needs. So, the bad news wasn't so bad, after all.

Lowest on Yield – 1

lowest_on_yieldLowest on Yield...

I recently mentioned that I believe that there is value in backing the lowest on yield horse (from the top three rated horses) in non-handicap races on the first page of the ratings (option 1 on the ratings email.) Now, I have received a lot of feedback and am now ready to start crunching the numbers. However, I have decided to test a number of possible strategies at the same time. I shall be calling these strategies Lowest on Yield Strategy or LOYS and they will be numbered as LOYS1, LOYS2 etc.

Speed Ratings

focus-ratings-speed-ratingsJust a quick heads up... I know that I said that I'm taking today off and I am. But I've just watched the ratings being compiled and, as a result, I shall be taking the Speed Ratings offline for the next week or so. This will mean that you will get your ratings and system selections earlier. There is something weird going on with the computation of the speed ratings and they seem to be taking far longer to compute than they used to. This could be why the ratings didn't work/were late on Saturday. I need to go through the code and sort this out. However, as a result of this, there will be a new (and additional) format for the ratings - I'll call this the Expert Ratings which will look like the Speed Ratings but won't have the speed figures. It will have additional features such as breakdown of Class 1 racing form by Grade; in other words, it'll be the normal ratings but with a whole lot of extra features added in. As I promised before my Mum's passing, I shall be moving the speed ratings computations to an earlier spot in the morning and, once this is done, I'll put the speed ratings back on line. It just seems wrong that those of you who don't need (or use) the Speed Ratings should have to wait for the normal ratings (and system selections) whilst the speed ratings are being computed. As always, your thoughts and comments are very welcome. My kindest regards keith-eckstein1

Race Number Analysis

focus-ratings-time-of-dayEarly races...

I mentioned recently that we seem to do better in the earlier races every day. I thought that it would be a nightmare to do the analysis but, Actually, it was easier than I thought. I wrote a program to add an extra couple of columns to the results table and then ran a query on it. However, when it came to doing the graphs... That's another matter!

Place Betting Strategy

mad_scientistMore Profits, anybody?

Sometimes it's good to have a contrary attitude. Sometimes it's nice to go looking for one thing and, almost by chance, find something completely different. For example, I like mushrooming. I may go into the forest expecting to find some Ceps and, instead, come across a patch of Trompettes de la mort (Horn of Plenty) just by chance. And that's a nice surprise; Fresh Ceps are worth about €25 a kilo but dried Trompettes de la mort are worth €400 a kilo. And, by all things good and great, they taste wonderful! A bit like truffles. So, when I got an email from John, I had this feeling that he'd found a patch of Trompettes de la mort where I'd been looking for Ceps. But, before I go on and explain what John had come up with... I thought that it might be an idea to quickly explain my personal philosophy.

Place Betting Strategy

mad_scientistWow!

I've been up since the early hours so that I can get the BAU (Business as Usual) out of the way before Goodwood starts. And, to make things easier for me I thought that I'd get the End of Month Place Betting Strategy post started. I added a new tab to the Place Betting Results Spreadsheet (which is available at... PBSJuly.xls) and started showing the results for the standard strategy compared to the results by using the new strategy. And I was so excited that I couldn't wait until the end of the month... I had to tell you straight away!

Place Betting Strategy

mad_scientistFeedback

I've had plenty of feedback about the Place Betting System. And I love feedback; especially when I can pass it on to you. Yesterday, one member sent me an email and asked... "If the 3rd rated only wins 33% of the time, what happens to profits if we just don't bet it?" So, I immediately dived into the Spreadsheet (which is available at... PBSJuly-staking.xls) and started crunching some numbers. The results are on the Analysis tab. By taking out the 3rd rated horses we improve the strike rate and get 14.70695 profit returned to 42 units staked (to level stakes.) That's better than the 11.24695 profit that we got from the level stake betting the top three rated (for 97 units staked) for the same period (up to Thursday.) By ignoring the 3rd rated selections we get 43 selection from the 23 days the spreadsheet covers and we get bets 9 days out of 10.

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