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Recent Races by Race Type

focus-ratings-speed-ratingsHello again...

Yesterday I mentioned a silly idea that I had about looking at the recent performance (over the last 28 days) of different race types. The post may be seen here.

These are yesterday's results...

Betfair win bets...

1). Kempton (AW) 2:50pm - Trade Route - Unplaced
2). Kempton (AW) 3:20pm - Bois de Boulogne - 1st = 2.25 BSP = 2.1375 points
3). Hereford 4pm - Pacha du Polder = NR
4). Leicester4:10pm - Laser Light - 3rd
5). Newcastle 5pm - Blooming Lovely - 2nd
6). Newcastle 7pm - Palenvilee - 2nd

Overall, 2.1375 points returned on 5 points staked.

Betfair place bets...

1). Kempton (AW) 2:50pm - Trade Route - Unplaced
2). Kempton (AW) 3:20pm - Bois de Boulogne - 1st = 1.22 BFPP = 1.159
3). Hereford 4pm - Pacha du Polder = NR
4). Leicester 4:10pm - Laser Light - 3rd = 1.33 BFPP = 1.2635
5). Newcastle 5pm - Blooming Lovely - 2nd = 1.38 BFPP = 1.311
6). Newcastle 7pm - Palenvilee - 2nd = 1.72 BFPP = 1.634

Overall, 5.3675 points returned on 5 points staked.

Today's selections are...

1). Wincanton - 13:25 - Azzuri (recent race type SR of 21.03%)
2). Towcester - 13:35 - Count Meribel (recent race type SR of 21.03%)
3). Clonmel - 14:25 - Monalee (recent race type SR of 21.30%)
4). Wincanton - 14:35 - Hitherjacques Lady (recent race type SR of 21.30%)
5). Clonmel - 15:35 - Clarcam (recent race type SR of 26.67%)
6). Wincanton 16:15 - Tony Star (recent race type SR of 25.00%)
7). Chelmsford - 20:00 - Angel of Darkness (recent race type SR of 23.17%)

These are the races that have had a strike rate over the last 28 days of over 20%.

There are some standout (but not for good reasons unless you are a layer) races...

Towcester - 14:10 - No wins from 6 races over the last 28 days.
Clonmel - 16:10 - Only 2 wins from 36 races over the last 28 days.
Wincanton - 16:45 - Only 2 wins from 35 races over the last 28 days.

Until I have thoroughly back tested this strategy I strongly suggest that you don't back these selections.

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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